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People who bet on sports will spend years developing methods and ways to try and determine winners for the week. Your system may take the price per head bookmaking odds and plug them into a formula that uses the teams’ statistics. Once you have your system, you stick with it and keep generating a profit.

The thing about betting systems is that they are not always easy to stick with. You can sometimes get a feeling about a game and go against your system. That is the biggest mistake you could ever make. You spent years developing that system so you could win with it. You have to accept the fact that you will lose once in a while. But if you continue to win, then stay with your system.

It is inevitable that every NFL betting enthusiast will feel it is time to update the system. If you look at your bets for the week and feel good about the way that you arrived at those choices, then do not touch your system. But if you see changes that could make your system better, then you have lost faith in your method and it is time to upgrade it.

Remember that it is okay to lose a bet once in a while. No one is perfect and any team can beat any other team on any given day. You have to determine what you consider to be acceptable losses. If your loss ratio is just too high, then examine your system and find out what you can do to get back on the winning track.

The biggest NFL question being thrown around the various betting sites is whether or not the Packers will go for a 16-0 record or if Green Bay will rest players. There is precedence to support both schools of thought. The Colts rested players the last couple of games of the 2009 season and wound up losing the Super Bowl to the Saints. The Patriots played for the 16-0 season in 2007, wound up being perfect and then lost the Super Bowl to the Giants.

According to the price per head bookie experts, the Packers claim that they have a plan to finish the season and it sounds like the Pack will be resting players the last two games of the season. Some people think that the Pack’s second string can win the last two games of the season. Others are not so sure.

Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers

By this point, the Packers would have secured home season throughout the NFC playoffs and would have no reason to subject quarterback Aaron Rodgers to the Chicago Bears’ defense. If the Packers follow the plan it has been discussing, the Rodgers will sit in this game and allow backup Matt Flynn to have a start. The Bears will desperately need this game and will have all hands on deck to attack a less than enthusiastic Green Bay team.

This is one instance where the NFL schedule works against the Packers because this is not going to be an easy game. This will be the game that prevents the Packers from going perfect this season.

Pick: Chicago Bears

The betting sites are waiting for some of the playoff bubbles to burst for some of the AFC teams that are hanging on the edge of contention. There are several key games in week 14 that could seal the fates of AFC teams that are hanging on to slim playoff hopes for dear life. The price per head sports experts are still figuring out the betting lines for these key games, but we can preview them now and analyze the effects of each game.

Kansas City Chiefs @ New York Jets

Jets’ head coach Rex Ryan hasn’t been as confident in his team this year as the Jets are clinging to life in the AFC playoff hunt. Ryan and the Jets know that a .500 record is not going to be enough to get any team into the playoffs, which means that the Jets can only give one of its last games away to finish with a 10-6 record. The Chiefs just don’t have the juice to beat the Jets when New York is in desperate need of a win.

Pick: New York Jets

Chicago Bears @ Denver Broncos

The NFL schedule at the end of the season is not kind to the Denver Broncos. As the Broncos desperately pursue the Oakland Raiders for first place in the AFC West, the Broncos have run out of head-to-head games against the Raiders and have only one divisional game left this season. But Denver needs to keep winning to have a chance, and the Bears can be beaten. But the Broncos are having problems stopping the run, and running the ball is how the Bears have been winning lately.

Pick: Chicago Bears

New England Patriots @ Washington Redskins

The Patriots have been in playoff mode for a couple of weeks now. This game will seal the AFC East for the Patriots again, and will give the Patriots a chance to play against a decent NFC defense. But what the Patriots are really playing for is home field throughout the playoffs, and that is why this game is so important to New England.

Pick: New England Patriots